Saturday, 14 March 2009

Risk Free Return is not a Utopia afterall.

B-School Pundits have been trying to drill the relationship between risk and return into my head. Logic says "Higher the risk, higher should be the expected return". Gambling is a high risk activity and hence should be associated with higher expected return. As far as I know betting is very close to gambling.

But if one is willing to accept lower return, a small return might be achievable with almost zero risk in betting. I am talking from the point of view of the betting companies. The internet revolution has seen a proliferation of these companies. Some of them does not seem to be very prudent.

Let us take the example of a football match. In a last week's fixture the odds for scoring more than two goals in the match were different on two sites. If you bet with William Hill you could win 80P for 1 Pound if there are more than 2.5 goals (to cover the possibility of 2 goals). The same bet on Company X had an odd of 1:1. Imagine that a person bets 1 Pound on WH and WH hedges it with a bet of 90P on Company X. Whether it looses or wins, it still gets 10P. A 10% risk free return in 1.5 hours! Good?

Is it legal to sell and buy bets in the UK? I do not know. If it is, are the companies doing it? I do not know. But if they are not, why do'nt they recruit me. In the current environment, I do not mind working for a betting company. I can watch free football too!!

Comments (4)

Loading... Logging you in...
  • Logged in as
Better still start your own...internet....viral marketing...go for it Ranjit !
I don't get it
" The same bet on Company X had an odd of 1:1. "
What does that mean?
Sorry Michal for any confusion caused. One of the other betting sites, i think it was Bet 365 had an odds of 1:1 for the match having more than 2.5 goals. So William Hill can sell the mentioned bet to an individual and buy the same bet from Bet 365 and make 10p always, whatever may be the result of the match. I hope I am clear.
Intresting, sounds like the industry needs to be regulated...

Post a new comment

Comments by